Growthink Blog

RISK…and what to do about it


The four letter word in all conversations between entrepreneurs and investors is risk.

Investors are always interested in getting ownership stakes in high potential companies but are also always weary of the considerable risk-taking necessary to actually do so. 

The most successful investors and entrepreneurs I know take a dispassionate and detached approach. 

They don’t get caught up in all of the “drama” around thinking and talking about risk.

Rather, they view it for what it actually is - simply a measurement of the likelihood of a set of future outcomes.

In the context of evaluating whether or not a business will grow and be successful, risk has three main drivers:

1.  Technology Risk. Can the entrepreneur actually bring-to-market a product or service and on what timeframe?

2.    Market Risk. Once the product is in the market, will anyone care?

3.    Execution Risk. Can that entrepreneur lead and manage a growing enterprise?

Critically, this risk calculation is done not by adding, but rather by multiplying, these factors together.

As such, poor grades on any one of these factor has an exponential impact on the business' overall risk profile, and thus its overall attractiveness.

And as should be obvious, better led and better managed companies simply have better answers when queried regarding the above - their technology plans are better thought out, they understand their market and customers more deeply, and their people have better resumes and track records. 

But it goes deeper than that. 

Human beings – conservative by default - are disproportionately prejudiced against higher risk undertakings and strategies, even when their expected returns more than compensates for their higher risk.

As a result, higher risk deals are normally underpriced while the lower risk ones are usually over-priced. 

That is good knowledge for investors seeking alpha (and who isn’t?), but what about the entrepreneur?

Well, it should be to always remember that the real dialogue going through the mind of an investor when considering a deal is not really about technology, or market, or management, even when that is what they want to talk about…

No, it is almost always about risk - both its reality and its perception.

Address this concern above all others, head-on, thoughtfully, confidently, and candidly. 

And then risk will be put back where it belongs - as a factor to consider - and not something that just automatically stops a deal.

To Your Success,

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