Did you know that the current stock market rally, which has seen the S&P 500 rise over 54% from its low of 676 on March 9th, is the greatest in history?
Lazlo Birinyi, founder of Birinyi Associates, notes that since March the S & P has risen 0.31%/day on average.
This is three times faster than the previous fastest recovery in 1982, which averaged an increase of 0.12% per day.
He calls it the "Usain Bolt of markets. We just blew through the records."
Tracking the uptick in the market has been rising consumer and economic confidence.
The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index was up in August to its highest level since December 2007.
And the Discover Business Watch Small Business Confidence measure jumped last month to its highest level since February 2008.
How to Take Advantage?
The problem is, of course, first determining if you've missed the rally, and then how to translate this improving business sentiment into opportunity for you.
For those of us that aren't Washington politicians or C-level executives of Fortune 500 companies, the best pathway to do so is via entrepreneurship and via involvement in private companies.
But, and it is a very key but, you have to know what you're doing. As the famous saying goes, "A little knowledge is a dangerous thing."
Quite simply, when it comes to investing in private companies you must "do it right or don't do it at all."
Best regards, and look forward to connecting.
P.S. There are 50% and more rallies every year in various private equity sectors. You just need to know where to look.
And before you start looking, you need to know what to look for.
Medtronic. Cardinal Health. Guidant. Becton, Dickinson. St. Jude Medical. Hospira. Fresenius. Varian Medical.
All of these medical device manufacturers had greater than ONE BILLION DOLLARS in sales last year.
Who Will be Next?
The great thing about this sector is that while the overall venture business is way down, medical device funding is BOOMING.
Firms poured $1.5 billion in 160 deals in the second quarter, up 47% over the prior quarter. In fact, investments in life sciences companies made up 41% of all private venture funding last quarter.
Why Should You Care?
Is there money being made in the sector now - even in this tough economy? You bet your life there is.
America's spending on healthcare will top $2.5 trillion this year alone, accounting for more than 17% of the nation's spending, and may double in the next decade.
Medical devices account for more than $100 billion of this.
Think of companies like device maker Vnus Medical, which Covidien just bought for $470 million - 4 times 2008 sales.
And Danaher, the industrial conglomerate, made big moves in the sector by buying MDS's analytical-technologies business for $650 million.
P.S. Medical devices is a bright and hot sector in the midst of a mostly dismal technology investment climate.
Stop crying in your soup about how tough it is out there and do something about it.Categories:
I recently had the opportunity to speak with expert entrepreneur and founder/CEO of Lending Club, Renaud Laplanche.
Renaud is an expert in raising capital, as he has successfully raised multiple rounds of venture and other capital -- totaling over $50 million for both Lending Club and Triple Hop Technologies, of which he was also the founder.
So I was excited to ask him questions about raising capital for one's business and how LendingClub can help individuals and entrepreneurs. In the interview we covered:
Click below to hear excerpts from the interview:
As readers of the Growthink blog know, I LOVE Kiva (Please read my past blog post on it here). For those not familiar with it, Kiva is a person-to-person micro-lending site –allowing individuals, primarily from developed countries, to lenddirectly to entrepreneurs in the developing world. The borrowers arein places like Cambodia, Bolivia, Azerbaijan, Lebanon, Peru, andTanzania – and primarily borrow to allow their very small businesses toexpand and hire.
Kiva was created in 2005 and originally funded 7 loans for a total of$3,500 which were all paid in full.
Since then, it has grown incredibly. Try these stats on for size:
Growthink's first Kiva loan (first of many we hope), was made to Ms. Tamalii Iopu, owner of a fishing business in Luatuanuu, Somoa. Ms. Iopu, a single mother of two, borrowed money last year to buy new fishing gear, and repaid it in full last month.
I would like to say that we had a particularly scientifically methodology for selecting Ms. Iopu from among the literally THOUSANDS of very deserving entrepreneurs on Kiva. The reality is, like most Kiva lenders, we simply connected to her story as presented on the site. And the very pure repayment histories of all of the borrowers is beyond inspiring.
Growthink hopes to do a LOT more with Kiva in the months and years to come. As I noted in my previous post, we love it because:
Check out Kiva at http://www.kiva.org. And prepare to be inspired.
Did you know that in the last 10 years, every major stock market index has LOST investors money?
That's right, on an inflation adjusted basis, the Dow, S&P, and NASDAQ have each given investors NEGATIVE returns.
And with all of the meddling in the markets coming out of Washington, prospects for the next 10 years aren't any brighter.
Fortunately, there is a better way. In those same 10 years, while stock market investors made nothing or took a bath, early-stage private equity investors earned over 30% annually.
Why is This?
Efficient markets theory teaches us that private equity will always out-perform the public markets. Investors must be given higher rates of return to compensate for the traditional illiquidity and high variability of the asset class.
And up until recently, access to quality early-stage private equity return vehicles has been a) cost and time prohibitive for most institutional investors and b) simply inaccessible to the smaller, individual investor.
The Times They Are A Changin'
Luckily, this is no longer the case. Five mega-trends have coalesced to transform private equity investing as we know it:
1. The ability to source, research, and monitor deals via the Internet
2. The ability to take a data - versus a personality - driven approach to deal diligence
3. The ability to better price deals utilizing regression analysis
4. The ability to exit deals faster - both via alternative investment trading platforms like Second Market - and also simply because of the increasing velocity of business, especially technology business.
5. The ability and opportunity to properly apply "black swan," or "randomness" modeling to deal diligence
Best regards, and look forward to connecting.
P.S. Are you prepared to be saying in 2019 - "Darn - It has now been 20 years since I made any money with my investments?" The world has changed - time to change with it.Categories: